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HANG TEN WITH SMART MONEY  
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Five Ways to Trade Against the Crowd and Trade with Smart Money

 

1.  Don't buy stock breakouts, buy the scary dips.

As often as not, stocks dip back below their breakout point to clear the stops from the breakout buyers before trending higher.  In the stock below, traditional breakout buyers stopped out for a loss before big gains were made.  Click here for alternative stock breakout entry strategies that help you profit whether the breakout succeeds or fails. 

smart money

2.  Don't buy stock breakouts; buy the first pullback to the 10-day average following the breakout. 

Sometimes stocks break out so strongly that they don't pull back.  In these instances, smart money tends to buy at the 10-day average.

stock breakout

3.  Understand that stock support is flexible, not rigid.

Oftentimes stocks trade briefly below their trend lines as smart money trades the traders to take out the stop losses placed below support. 

stock support

4.  Profit by taking profit.

There's an old trader saw that says "cut your losses quickly, but let your winnings run."  It sounds nice, but it is impractical.  By letting winnings run, most traders find that their winnings run away from them and turn into losses. 

If you quickly limit your losses and also quickly lock in your gains, it is actually possible to be wrong 50% of the time and still profit handsomely. 

In this example, losses are cut quickly at 3% for unsuccessful trades and profits are automatically taken at 10% for successful trades.

Starting with $10,000, for your successful trades you make 10% each and for your unsuccessful trades you lose 2%-3% each.

Trade 1 = $1000 profit
Trade 2 = $1000 profit
Trade 3 = $300 loss
Trade 4 = $300 loss
Trade 5 = $1000 profit
Trade 6 = $1000 profit
Trade 7 = $300 loss
Trade 8 = $1000 profit
Trade 9 = $300 loss
Trade 10 = $300 loss

Total = $3,500 profit

5.  Pay attention to sentiment.

Smart money understands crowd psychology.  They understand that the crowd operates with a herd mentality.  When the crowd's mood reaches extremes, smart money will trade against the crowd.  When the crowd's sentiment readings are extremely bearish, you can rest assured that smart money is very likely taking advantage of the fear and buying heavily.  When the crowd is overly enthusiastic, it's pretty likely that smart money is taking advantage of the crowd's enthusiasm and taking profits and perhaps selling short. 

 

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Don't Follow the Herd
 
Dear Profit Wave
I am a member for the last 3 months and since then I have traded more than 90% of the stocks that you have recommended. I would like to thank you for the superb picks that have increased my portfolio by 47% in 3 months.
I would like to wish the team Happy New Year

Bhushan D

 

By the way. In the few weeks I have been with you I have been extremely gratified with your selections and the positive results. Of the issues I have sold all were done at a profit and no stops were hit. CHRT (+1.41%), HOMS (+18.5%), GLFD (+19.11%).


I appreciate the selection methods for your stock picks. It seems that you are able to find COMBINATIONS of good factors (i.e., stocks coming off resistance +MACD crosing + volume...). Please keep up the good work.

JJ